New Haven
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 70.1809Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Sacred Heart Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 74.1) 10- 7 227 A Wofford Big South ( 5- 8, 76.9) 15-21 301 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3- 9, 69.9) 7-15 304 A Merrimack Metro Atlanti ( 4-10, 74.0) 8-18 307 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 7- 6, 79.5) 6-16 314 H Mercyhurst Northeast ( 1- 8, 66.3) 14-11 321 A Wagner Northeast ( 4- 7, 74.2) 9-14 325 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast ( 7- 6, 71.5) 8-11 328 H LIU Northeast ( 7- 5, 74.6) 9-11 404 H Le Moyne Northeast (10- 2, 77.4) 11-12 408 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3- 9, 68.3) 411 A Stonehill Northeast ( 7- 6, 77.0) 418 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-10, 62.7) 425 A Delaware State Northeast ( 0-12, 59.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H Sacred Heart 10- 7 3 -3 ++ 5.72
227 A Wofford 15-21 -6 -8 1.96
301 A Presbyterian 7-15 -8 -1 --- -7.09
304 A Merrimack 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.94
307 A Quinnipiac 6-16 -10 -10 0.49
314 H Mercyhurst 14-11 3 5 - -2.08
321 A Wagner 9-14 -5 -5 0.19
325 A Fairleigh Dickinson 8-11 -3 -3 -0.42
328 H LIU 9-11 -2 -3 1.18
404 H Le Moyne 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Presbyterian 7-15 -8 -1 --- -7.09 304 A Merrimack 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.94 314 H Mercyhurst 14-11 3 5 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Sacred Heart 10- 7 3 -3 ++ 5.72 404 H Le Moyne 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.99 |
New Haven Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Akron | Akron | ||
| Albany | Albany | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Albany | |
| American | American | American | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Austin Peay | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Austin Peay | |
| Binghamton | Binghamton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Binghamton | |
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | Bryant 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | Butler | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Butler | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Campbell | |
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Central Connecticut | New Haven | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | New Haven | |
| Central Michigan | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Coastal Carolina | |
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Columbia | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Davidson | Davidson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Davidson | |
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | New Haven | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | New Haven | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Duquesne | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duquesne | |
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | ||
| Elon | Elon | Elon | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Fairleigh Dickinson | Fairleigh Dickinson | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | Furman | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Furman | |
| Gardner Webb | Gardner Webb | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Gardner Webb | |
| George Mason | George Mason | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | George Mason | |
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | High Point | |
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Howard (DC) | New Haven | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | New Haven | |
| Iona | Iona | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Iona | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kent State | Kent State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kent State | |
| La Salle | La Salle | La Salle | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lafayette | |
| Le Moyne | Le Moyne | Le Moyne | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | Lehigh | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| LIU | LIU | LIU | ||
| Longwood | Longwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Longwood | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Manhattan | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Manhattan | |
| Marist | Marist | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marist | |
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Massachusetts | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mercer | |
| Mercyhurst | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mount St Marys | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | New Hampshire | |
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Presbyterian | Presbyterian | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Queens | Queens | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | ||
| Radford | Radford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Radford | |
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rhode Island | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Rider | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rider | |
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| San Diego State | San Diego State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | San Diego State | |
| Siena | Siena | Siena 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Bonaventure | |
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Stetson | Stetson | ||
| Stonehill | Stonehill | Stonehill 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UMBC | UMBC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| VCU | VCU | VCU | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Wagner | Wagner | ||
| William & Mary | William & Mary | William & Mary | ||
| Winthrop | Winthrop | Winthrop | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | Wofford | ||
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier | ||
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Youngstown State | Youngstown State |
PowerWise = 6
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sacred Heart ( 4- 8, 74.1) 10- 7 -25.78 14.93 -1.22 1.25 34.14
0 A Wofford ( 5- 8, 76.9) 15-21 -22.98 17.73 1.22 1.25 -13.55
0 A Presbyterian ( 3- 9, 69.9) 7-15 -30.03 10.68 1.22 1.25 -17.94
0 A Merrimack ( 4-10, 74.0) 8-18 -25.87 14.83 1.22 1.25 -15.35
0 A Quinnipiac ( 7- 6, 79.5) 6-16 -20.44 20.26 1.22 1.25 -11.97
0 H Mercyhurst ( 1- 8, 66.3) 14-11 -33.59 7.12 -1.22 1.25 14.70
0 A Wagner ( 4- 7, 74.2) 9-14 -25.75 14.96 1.22 1.25 -15.27
0 A Fairleigh Dick ( 7- 6, 71.5) 8-11 -28.36 12.35 1.22 1.25 -16.90
0 H LIU ( 7- 5, 74.6) 9-11 -25.32 15.39 -1.22 1.25 -16.52
0 H Le Moyne (10- 2, 77.4) 11-12 -22.51 18.20 -1.22 1.25 -14.77
------
-73.42
|
winning pts = 48.8457 losing points = -122.2654
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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